고령1인 및 고령부부가구수의 예측에 관한 연구

서지정보

ㆍ발행기관 : 한국주거학회 ㆍ수록지정보 : 한국주거학회논문집 / 19권 / 2호
ㆍ저자명 : 배정인

목차

I. 서 론
II. 예측방법
III. 예측결과 및 논의
IV. 결론 및 제언
참 고 문 헌

한국어 초록

본 연구는 재가노인의 거주문제에 관한 정책 수립에 필요한 기본적 자료를 제공하기 위해, 적절한 예측방법을 제안하고 그 타당성을 검토한 후, 가구주의 연령이 65세이상인 1인가구와 부부가구의 가구주의 연령별 가구 수를 기초지방자치단체별로 예측하고, 그 동향을 고령 전기와 후기로 나누어 고찰하는 것을 목적으로 한다.

영어 초록

Research outcome shows the following: 1.Estimation by the year 2015 on the number of the aged people and on the number of the household of living alone and living with spouse only, per age-cohort by 5 years, per basic self-governing local groups and the city of Daegu. The result is supposed to serve as meaningful basic material in building up future policies in many areas for the aged people living in their homes. 2.Estimation varies according to the areas andthe age-cohorts. In urban areas, increase of the numbers of the households of the aged people living alone and living with spouse only is estimated in every age-cohort. In rural areas, variance between two age-groups, old-old and youngold, is observed. Both of the numbers of the households for the aged living alone and the aged living with spouse onlyhave increased continuously by the year 2005. But the hither-to increase tendency is estimated to reverse itself to a decrease starting from the younger within the young-old age group, and the ratio of the old-old age-group in rural population will sharply increase starting from the year 2005. Such increase in the number of the aged people in need of the housing and the social support requires the increasing policy consideration for the issue of housing for the aged living in their homes. In spite of the decreasing tendency in the number of the aged people living alone and living with spouse only in rural areas, still there will continue to be more number of such households than in urban area for the time being. The government of Gyeongsangbuk-Do should pay more consideration to the old-old aged living alone and living with spouse only in rural areas, while being prepared for the sharply increasing households for the aged living alone and living with spouse only in urban areas.

참고 자료

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